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I wouldn't book more than 3 months in advance. Also, check when there will be major conventions and avoid those days because airfare and hotels will cost more.
You can get that insurance where if the prices come down, you get a refund or if you have to back out last minute, you get all your money back. I wouldn't do more than 3 months like mentioned.
A friend of mine goes there 4 to 6 times a year for business and she always books 6 weeks out. I think no more than 8 weeks and no less than 4 is a good measurement.